| 王一焜,田华伟,肖延辉.美国《国家反情报战略》政策工具挖掘与量化评价[J].情报工程,2026,(2):108-116 |
| 美国《国家反情报战略》政策工具挖掘与量化评价 |
| The Policy Tools Exploration and Quantitative Evaluation of the U.S. National Counterintelligence Strategy |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 美国反情报战略；政策工具；政策评价；PMC 指数 |
| 英文关键词: U.S. Counterintelligence Strategy; Policy Instruments; policy evaluation; PMC |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金重大项目“数字时代国家安全风险综合体的治理机制研究”（24&ZD122）。 |
| 作者 | 单位 | | 王一焜 | 中国人民公安大学 北京 100038 | | 田华伟 | 中国人民公安大学 北京 100038 | | 肖延辉 | 中国人民公安大学 北京 100038 |
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| 摘要点击次数: 31 |
| 全文下载次数: 30 |
| 中文摘要: |
| [目的/意义]通过对美国政府2005 年以来发布的具有代表性的5 份《国家反情报战略》进行政策工具挖掘和量化分析，为我国研究反情报战略、出台相关政策提供借鉴。[方法/过程]以美国5份《国家反情报战略》为研究对象，构建了包含战略演进、政策工具、PMC 指数计算和曲面构建的分析框架，进而对美国反情报战略进行分析。[结果/结论]美国反情报战略主要聚焦于防范外国情报实体，减轻内部安全风险，保护工商业及民主制度安全；政策工具上以供给型和环境型为主，需求型工具使用不足，拉动力较弱；PMC 指数显示战略主题和执行越完善，评价越高。因此，建议我国反情报战略应坚持总体国家安全观，强化需求型与环境型政策工具，将大数据与人工智能纳入反情报战略设计，并注重政策的主题和作用层面等。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| [Purpose/Significance] Through text mining and quantitative analysis of five representative National Counterintelligence Strategies issued by the U.S. government since 2005, this study aims to provide insights and references
for China in researching counterintelligence strategies and formulating related policies. [Methodology/Process] Using the five editions of the U.S. National Counterintelligence Strategy as research subjects, this study constructs an analytical framework encompassing strategic evolution, policy instruments, PMC index calculation, and surface modeling, in order to conduct a comprehensive analysis of U.S. counterintelligence strategy. [Results/Conclusion] The U.S. counterintelligence strategy primarily ocuses on preventing foreign intelligence entities, mitigating internal security risks, and safeguarding the security of commerce,industry, and democratic institutions. In terms of policy tools, it relies mainly on supply-side and environmental instruments,with insufficient use of demand-side tools, resulting in limited pull effects. The PMC index indicates that strategies with more refined themes and stronger implementation mechanisms receive higher evaluations. Therefore, it is recommended that China's counterintelligence strategy adhere to the holistic view of national security, strengthen the use of demand-side and environmental
policy tools, incorporate big data and artificial intelligence into strategic design, and emphasize both the thematic and functional dimensions of policy making. |
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