| 熊书玲,崔丹,席雪萍.未来技术产业化成熟度研究——以氢能和超材料为例[J].情报工程,2025,11(5):072-081 |
| 未来技术产业化成熟度研究——以氢能和超材料为例 |
| Research on the Industrialization Maturity of Future Technologies: Taking Hydrogen Energy and Metamaterials as Examples |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 未来技术；产业化；成熟度；氢能；超材料 |
| 英文关键词: Future Technology; Industrialization; Maturity; Hydrogen Energy; Metamaterials |
| 基金项目:中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费重点工作项目“未来技术产业化成熟度研究”（ZD2023-16）。 |
| 作者 | 单位 | | 熊书玲 | 中国科学技术信息研究所 北京 100038 | | 崔丹 | 中国科学技术信息研究所 北京 100038 | | 席雪萍 | 中国科学技术信息研究所 北京 100038 |
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| 摘要点击次数: 15 |
| 全文下载次数: 14 |
| 中文摘要: |
| [目的/意义]未来产业是面向未来社会需求、由当下尚未成熟的技术突破驱动、将可能会发展成为战略性新兴产业的产业，然而目前较少有围绕未来产业的成熟度评价研究。[方法/过程]从技术创新成果、技术创新转化、技术创新产品、技术创新主体、技术政策环境多个维度，综合研判未来技术是否具备产业化特征，评估其当前所处的产业化阶段以及当前产业化的优势和短板。在建立未来技术产业化成熟度评价体系的基础上，分别围绕能源、材料领域的氢能、超材料技术展开实证研究。[结果/结论]通过分析目前我国氢能、超材料领域在政策环境、创新产品、创新主体方面的短板，针对性地提出培育未来产业的发展建议，为基于氢能、超材料的新产业培育提供参考。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| [Objective/Significance] Future industries are industries that are oriented towards future social needs, driven by current immature technological breakthroughs, and may develop into strategic emerging industries. However, there is currently little research on evaluating the maturity of future industries. [Methods/Processes] From the perspectives of technological innovation achievements, technological innovation transformation, technological innovation products, technological innovation subjects and technological policy environment, the research comprehensively evaluates whether future technologies possess industrialization characteristics, and evaluates the current industrialization stage as well as the advantages and disadvantages of current industrialization. On the basis of establishing the evaluation system of future technology industrialization maturity, the empirical research is carried out on hydrogen energy technology and metamaterial technology in energy and materials fields respectively.[Results/Conclusions] By analyzing the current shortcomings in policy environment, innovative products and innovative subjects in the field of hydrogen energy and metamaterials in China, the research puts forward suggestions for the development of future industries, which can provide references for the cultivation of new industries based on hydrogen energy and metamaterials. |
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