| 张俊昂,方瑞瑞,冯连勇.基于PMC指数模型的地方新能源汽车政策评价[J].情报工程,2025,11(5):082-095 |
| 基于PMC指数模型的地方新能源汽车政策评价 |
| Policy Evaluation of Local New Energy Vehicles Based on PMC Index Model |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 新能源汽车；PMC 指数模型；政策量化评价 |
| 英文关键词: New Energy Vehicles; PMC Index Model; Quantitative Evaluation of Policies |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于净能源与碳投入回报的CO2技术经济评价方法研究”（72274212）。 |
| 作者 | 单位 | | 张俊昂 | 中国石油大学（北京）经济管理学院 北京 102249 | | 方瑞瑞 | 中国石油大学（北京）经济管理学院 北京 102249 | | 冯连勇 | 中国石油大学（北京）经济管理学院 北京 102249 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| [目的/意义]系统剖析“双碳”目标下我国新能源汽车政策的现状与不足，识别政策体系在设计与实施中存在的关键问题，以期为后续政策的优化与完善提供直接的、有针对性的决策参考。[方法/过程]通过构建PMC指数模型评价体系，对2014-2024 年间中国各级政府发布的23 项新能源汽车相关政策进行量化分析，从政策效力、工具和主题等多个维度进行综合评价。[局限]研究主要依赖于公开政策文本的静态内容分析，对政策实际执行效果与市场反馈的追踪不足；同时，PMC 模型的指标权重设定可能存在一定主观性，未来可结合动态面板数据或采用多模型比较进行稳健性检验。[结果/结论]我国新能源汽车政策整体设计较为合理，但仍存在效力级别层次单薄、政策工具配置不合理、政策受众缺乏多元化、政策保障不足等问题；新能源汽车政策存在“模仿困境”问题；公共充电桩的分布不均衡以及新能源汽车发展差异受到政策与资源禀赋之间的交互效应影响。根据研究结果提出了相应的建议。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| [Objective/Significance] This study aims to systematically analyze the current situation and shortcomings of our country’s new energy vehicle policy under the “dual carbon” goal, identify the key problems in the design and implementation of the policy system, and provide a direct and targeted decision-making reference for the optimization and improvement of subsequent policies. [Methods/Processes] By constructing a PMC index model evaluation system, this paper quantitatively analyzes 23 new energy vehicle-related policies issued by Chinese governments at all levels from 2014 to 2024, and comprehensively evaluates them from multiple dimensions such as policy effectiveness, tools and themes. [Limitations] This study mainly relies on the static content analysis of public policy texts, and the tracking of the actual implementation effect of the policy and market feedback is insufficient. At the same time, the index weight setting of the PMC model may have a certain degree of subjectivity, and the robustness test can be carried out in combination with dynamic panel data or multimodel comparison in the future. [Results/Conclusions] The overall design of our country’s new energy vehicle policy is relatively reasonable, but there are still problems such as weak effectiveness level, unreasonable allocation of policy tools, lack of diversification of policy audiences, and insufficient policy guarantees. There is a problem of “imitation dilemma” in the new energy vehicle policy; The uneven distribution of public charging piles and the differences in the development of new energy vehicles are affected by the interaction between policies and resource endowments. This paper makes corresponding recommendations based on the research results. |
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