| 杜廷霞,程铭,刘颖莹,闫峰.财政科技支出、区域创新与产业结构升级间互动关系研究 —— 基于山东省 16 市面板数据的 PVAR 研究[J].情报工程,2025,(6):070-080 |
| 财政科技支出、区域创新与产业结构升级间互动关系研究 —— 基于山东省 16 市面板数据的 PVAR 研究 |
| The Interactive Relationship Between Fiscal Science and Technology Expenditure,Regional Innovation and Industrial Structure Upgrading: PVAR Research Based on the Panel Data of 16 Cities in Shandong Province |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 财政科技支出；区域创新；产业结构升级；PVAR 模型；双向互动关系 |
| 英文关键词: Fiscal Science and Technology Expenditure; Regional Innovation; Industrial Structure Upgrading; PVAR Model; Two-way Interactive Relationship |
| 基金项目:山东省统计科研课题“探索科技创新与产业升级融合发展机制研究”(KT24038)；山东省社会科学规划研究项目“新型工业化背景下山东省高技术制造业创新能力发展现状及提升路径研究”(24BCXJ09)。 |
| 作者 | 单位 | | 杜廷霞 | 山东省创新发展研究院 济南 250101 | | 程铭 | 山东省创新发展研究院 济南 250101 | | 刘颖莹 | 山东省创新发展研究院 济南 250101 | | 闫峰 | 山东省创新发展研究院 济南 250101 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| [目的/意义]财政科技支出作为重要的政策工具，为区域创新提供了必要的资金支持和资源保障；区域创新能力的提升，推动了产业结构的优化与升级。财政科技支出、区域创新与产业结构升级三者良性互动关系的建立可以高效提升区域高质量发展能力。[方法/过程]基于 2013―2023 年山东省 16 市面板数据，建立 PVAR 模型，运用脉冲响应函数、方差分解等方法对三者间的双向互动关系进行实证分析。[局限]受数据可获取性限制，文章所选研究指标大部分沿用前人经验所得，指标选取方面创新点不足。[结果/结论]区域创新与产业结构升级存在密切的双向互动关系；财政科技支出与区域创新存在良好的短期互动关系；财政科技支出与产业升级互动关系尚不明显。针对问题，文章提出推动财政科技支出、区域创新、产业结构升级三者建立良性循环互动关系的三种方法。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| [[Objective/Significance] Fiscal science and technology expenditure, as an important policy tool, provides necessary financial support and resource guarantee for regional innovation; the improvement of regional innovation capacity promotes the improvement and upgrading of industrial structure. The establishment of a benign interactive relationship among fiscal science and technology expenditure, regional innovation and industrial structure upgrading can efficiently enhance the ability of regional high-development. [Methods/Processes] This article establishes a PVAR model based on the panel of 16 cities in Shandong Province from 2013 to 2023, and uses methods such as impulse response function and variance decomposition to empirically the two-way interactive relationship among them. [Limitations] Due to the limitation of data availability, the selected research indicators in this article mostly follow the previous empirical results, and there is little innovation in the selection of indicators. [Results/Conclusions] Findings show that there is a close two-way interaction between regional innovation and industrial structure upgrading; Fiscal scientific and technological expenditure and regional innovation have a good short-term interaction relationship; The interactive relationship between fiscal scientific and technological expenditure and industrial upgrading is not yet obvious. In view of the problem, this article proposes three ways to promote the establishment of a virtuous circle of interaction among fiscal scientific and technological expenditure, regional innovation, and industrial structure upgrading. |
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